Debt Assurances Clash With Rising Repayment Risks

Sri Lanka will not face another sovereign debt crisis, according to Central Bank Governor Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe, who has dismissed concerns about renewed default risks from 2028 onward. However, official data indicates that annual external debt servicing is set to rise from around $2.75 billion through 2027 to as much as $3.5 billion thereafter, with peaks nearing $4 billion in …

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IMF Aid Supports Recovery but Exposes Policy Weaknesses

Sri Lanka’s improving fiscal indicators and recovering household incomes mask deeper vulnerabilities in monetary and exchange rate policy, analysts warn. The latest IMF financing, including emergency assistance following Cyclone Ditwah, has eased immediate balance-of-payments pressure but highlighted structural weaknesses in the current framework.

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 IFC Warns Reform Slippage Could Undermine Sri Lanka’s Economic Stability

Sri Lanka’s economic rebound between 2024 and 2025 represents one of the sharpest post-crisis turnarounds in recent emerging market history. However, IFC officials warn that stabilisation alone is not enough, and that the real test of the IMF-supported programme lies in converting short-term gains into long-term resilience.

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